Lech Poznań vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 1
LPO
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PGL
1 - 4
LPO
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
APO
0 - 5
LPO
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LPO
1 - 0
WAR
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
56%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 2
FAR
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PAO
2 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |