Champions League 1/16
Global 2-4
Lech Poznań vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
LPO
2 - 0
MOT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
ZAG
1 - 3
LPO
33%
32%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
LPO
1 - 0
BAL
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
WLO
2 - 0
LPO
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
LPO
1 - 0
SZO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ZAR
1 - 2
ATH
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
ATH
2 - 0
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
ATM
3 - 0
ATH
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
OSA
2 - 2
ATH
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |