Lecce vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
LEC
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRI
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
2%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 2
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
REG
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 2
TRA
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ABN
3 - 1
ACD
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
4 - 1
TRE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |