Lecce vs Vico Equense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
GEN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vico Equense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
RIM
1 - 2
VIC
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOC
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 0
REN
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
REN
0 - 1
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
SPE
25%
26%
50%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |