Lecce vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LEC
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
LAZ
44%
32%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRI
45%
32%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAD
50%
31%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
MES
47%
30%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |