Lecce vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 3
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 2
SPE
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRO
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 0
MES
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |