Lecce vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAD
38%
26%
35%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 2
GEN
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 5
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 0
NAP
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
USF
2 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SAL
2 - 0
USF
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
3 - 0
USF
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ASL
5 - 1
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |