Lecce vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BAR
2 - 2
LEC
49%
31%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
LEC
55%
27%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
USF
0 - 0
UDI
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 0
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
USF
2 - 1
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
PES
4 - 1
USF
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
USF
1 - 1
TER
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |