Lecce vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
TOR
3 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
USC
0 - 2
REG
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
VER
5 - 2
USC
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
BRE
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 0
USC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |