Lecce vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 2
JUV
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 3
JUV
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ROM
2 - 3
LEC
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
PIS
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
CAM
2 - 1
USC
47%
32%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
CAT
63%
24%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
CES
0 - 1
USC
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |