Lecce vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 1
RIM
56%
26%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
COM
50%
30%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
FCC
39%
32%
29%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |