Lecce vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIA
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
CAS
2 - 1
LEC
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAL
43%
30%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ASL
3 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
AVE
2 - 1
MES
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |