Lecce vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LEC
2 - 1
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
USF
1 - 1
LEC
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
VIC
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 0
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 2
RIM
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 2
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |