Lecce vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ASL
0 - 1
LEC
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
1 - 2
LEC
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 1
PES
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
RAV
1 - 2
LEC
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
TER
2 - 2
FIA
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
TER
2 - 1
FIA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
REG
1 - 1
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
TER
2 - 0
VER
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CES
2 - 1
TER
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |