Lecce vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
49%
30%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAG
36%
34%
30%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
2 - 1
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 2
GEN
33%
34%
33%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
CAM
2 - 1
TAR
53%
29%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
PAD
3 - 0
TAR
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |