Lecce vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.3%
13.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
MOL
5 - 1
LEC
22%
21%
57%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRI
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
TAR
3 - 2
LEC
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |