Lecce vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEC
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 2
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
ASS
1 - 2
SPA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |