Lecce vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RIM
0 - 1
LEC
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
LEC
3 - 2
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
LEC
1 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 1
LEC
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAT
68%
23%
10%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 2
SPA
55%
29%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPA
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |