Lecce vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 2
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
USC
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRI
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COM
3 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACS
80%
13%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |