Lecce vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
50.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
46%
29%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
63%
23%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
ACM
1 - 0
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
SAM
3 - 1
INT
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
22%
29%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
SAM
15%
27%
58%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |