Lecce vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
LEC
6 - 0
VIR
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 21 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
LEC
6 - 0
STG
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 21 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LEC
8 - 0
FCG
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
FCC
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
PIC
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 1
SSS
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SAL
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
VNZ
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |