Lecce vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
5 - 2
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROM
43%
24%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |