Lecce vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
USC
2 - 1
LEC
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
LEC
5 - 1
ATL
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
LEC
3 - 2
UDI
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
3 - 1
LEC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
29%
32%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
ROM
0 - 0
USF
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
ROM
24%
28%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAD
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 1
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
SAM
0 - 1
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |