Lecce vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 1
ABN
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
RIM
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 3
RIM
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
RIM
2 - 1
FRO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 1
RIM
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |