Lecce vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
LEC
41%
31%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
RIM
1 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
TER
0 - 0
RIM
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
RIM
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 1
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |