Lecce vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TER
2 - 0
LEC
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 2
LEC
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
RIM
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
RIM
3 - 0
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
RIM
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |