Lecce vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIS
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
VIC
1 - 1
LEC
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAM
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ATL
2 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
45%
32%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
57%
28%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
PIS
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 2
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
4 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |