Lecce vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
USC
55%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEC
51%
28%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASS
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 0
SSS
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 4
PIS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |