Lecce vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
TOR
1 - 2
LEC
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
FIO
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
PIA
0 - 1
UDI
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
ROM
2 - 1
PIA
78%
14%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
PIA
0 - 2
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAG
3 - 0
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
PIA
0 - 1
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |