Lecce vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 1
SPE
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PES
1 - 3
BRE
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 0
PES
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
PES
2 - 3
ABN
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PIA
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
PES
2 - 3
CRO
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |