Lecce vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 2
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
COS
2 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 0
VNZ
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
ATL
2 - 2
PRG
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
PRG
3 - 4
VER
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 1
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |