Lecce vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
63%
25%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 0
LEC
52%
30%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 1
VIC
39%
30%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 0
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAG
1 - 2
PRG
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
JUV
3 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
PRG
0 - 0
INT
34%
31%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |