Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
NAP
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 2
ROM
23%
24%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |