Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
VIC
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
LIL
0 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 2
LIL
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAR
50%
24%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |