Lecce vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
1 - 2
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 1
SIE
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROM
43%
24%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 4
ACM
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
5 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |