Lecce vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
LEC
93%
6%
2%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1977 |
VIC
3 - 0
LEC
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEC
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
PES
42%
31%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
COM
2 - 3
PAL
62%
25%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
RIM
50%
29%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
59%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |