Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
LEC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 2
ROM
23%
24%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
36%
26%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
NAP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 2
CAT
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |