Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 1
JUV
16%
25%
59%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FIO
5 - 0
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
ACM
1 - 2
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
JUV
2 - 0
LEC
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
BOL
5 - 1
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |