Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 0
USC
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAO
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
NAP
3 - 0
SSB
94%
4%
1%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 2
NAP
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
NAP
19%
26%
55%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |