Lecce vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAT
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 1
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USF
4 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAT
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MON
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
AKR
2 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |