Lecce vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 0
USC
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
CES
4 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MOD
3 - 1
ARZ
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SAM
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |