Lecce vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 1
RIM
56%
26%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 4
PIS
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 1
MOD
61%
26%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAM
42%
30%
27%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |