Lecce vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAT
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSS
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
49%
29%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |