Lecce vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 0
LEC
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 2
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
INT
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ACM
3 - 0
UDI
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ACM
4 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |