Lecce vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
66.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASL
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 3
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 1
SPA
70%
21%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
40%
31%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
69%
20%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1993 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACM
49%
25%
27%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACM
13%
24%
63%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | -1 |