Lecce vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
4 - 1
USC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
LAZ
0 - 0
LEC
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
VIC
1 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 0
MES
41%
31%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
39%
30%
30%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |