Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AKR
0 - 2
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
JUS
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 0
LEC
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 2
NUO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 2
LEC
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FON
0 - 2
MAT
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
SIR
46%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |