Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 3
LEC
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
NUO
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
LEC
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
FON
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
LEC
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MES
0 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |