Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 1
VER
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
SSS
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 1
MAT
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
SPA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |