Lecce vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
COS
2 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 2
ANC
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
VIC
2 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 2
PES
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
COS
3 - 2
ASL
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |